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Predict OTT Success with IMDb & Rotten Tomatoes Sentiment Data

Author: Ott Scrape
by Ott Scrape
Posted: Jun 26, 2025
Use Case Summary

An OTT content distributor preparing to launch 8 new titles across various streaming platforms wanted to understand audience sentiment around trailers, cast, and pre-release buzz.

They partnered with OTT Scrape to perform real-time sentiment analysis across IMDb and Rotten Tomatoes—scraping reviews, early ratings, critic summaries, and fan forums. The goal: predict how each upcoming title would perform before investing in aggressive marketing or promotional spend.

The outcome? A 30% improvement in pre-launch decision accuracy, more focused campaigns, and better regional segmentation—all powered by data.

Business ChallengeThe Problem:

Most content performance metrics come post-launch. By then, it’s too late to rework positioning or withdraw promotional spend.

The client asked:

  • Can we predict early sentiment shifts for unreleased content?
  • Can we detect cast-based or genre-based polarity in fan discussions?
  • Can we compare trailer reactions across multiple OTT platforms?
Goals:
  • Monitor sentiment from IMDb user reviews, forums & "anticipated watchlists"
  • Scrape Rotten Tomatoes critic scores and early fan buzz
  • Extract and classify reviews/comments by emotion (positive, neutral, negative)
  • Use NLP-based tagging to surface themes, cast mentions, and expectations
Solution: Multi-Source Sentiment Scraping by OTT Scrape

OTT Scrape deployed a dual-channel web scraping and NLP-based text analysis pipeline targeting:

  • IMDb: forums, user reviews, trailer comments, "Most Anticipated" lists
  • Rotten Tomatoes: critic blurbs, fan ratings, upcoming release watchlists
  • Other sources: YouTube trailer comment sections (optional layer)
SEO Keywords Used:
  • OTT sentiment analysis tools
  • IMDb review scraping
  • Rotten Tomatoes data extraction
  • Predict OTT show success
  • Content performance prediction
Sample Scraped & Processed Datajson CopyEdit [ { "title": "Edge of Reality", "platform": "Prime Video", "release_date": "2025-07-12", "imdb_pre_release_rating": 7.8, "rotten_tomatoes_critic_score": 84, "sentiment_summary": { "positive": 72, "neutral": 19, "negative": 9 }, "common_tags": ["psychological thriller", "strong female lead", "mind-bending"] }, { "title": "Street Vibe", "platform": "Netflix", "release_date": "2025-07-20", "imdb_pre_release_rating": 6.1, "rotten_tomatoes_critic_score": 58, "sentiment_summary": { "positive": 42, "neutral": 28, "negative": 30 }, "common_tags": ["generic plot", "dance drama", "low expectations"] } ] Key Metrics DeliveredMetricDescriptionIMDb Pre-Release ScoreRatings given by early viewers or test audiencesRT Critic Score% of critics giving a positive reviewComment Sentiment ClassificationNLP-based emotion tagging on scraped commentsCommon ThemesExtracted keywords/phrases from discussionsViewer Anticipation IndexComposite score of mentions, tone, trailer view countAnalysis from OTT Scrape

1. Content Type & Sentiment Correlation

  • Thrillers & Biopics had the highest pre-launch positivity
  • Dance dramas & sequels showed high sentiment polarity (divided reactions)

2. Cast-Based Bias Detection

  • Titles featuring rising stars or critically acclaimed actors had>20% boost in positive sentiment
  • Franchise fatigue was evident for sequels with recurring casts

3. Regional Split Indicators

  • "Edge of Reality" had higher sentiment in urban U.S. regions
  • "Street Vibe" was better received in Latin American discussions but had negative feedback in North America
Impact of Using OTT ScrapeKPIBefore (Last Launch Cycle)After (This Cycle w/ Sentiment Data)Campaign Budget Wastage26%12%High-Risk Titles Pulled Pre-Launch02Regional Campaign Re-AllocationNoYes (5 countries re-targeted)Accuracy of Demand Prediction62%89%

The sentiment signals allowed the client to adjust promotions, drop risky titles, and double down on likely breakout hits.

Dashboard Delivered by OTT Scrape
  • Real-time sentiment graphs
  • Top keywords & actor mentions
  • Region-wise fan engagement heatmap
  • Positive/negative spikes over 7-day trailer windows
  • Critic rating trendline (pre-release vs launch)
How OTT Scrape Solved Technical ChallengesChallengeSolution by OTT ScrapeRate-limited IMDb forums & reviewsRotating proxies + headless scrapingText noise in commentsNLP-based cleaning + emotion modelingRotten Tomatoes critic extractionDOM parsing + structured data API parsingDuplicate data from fan sitesDeduplication logic in pre-processing pipelineFinal Recommendations Provided
  • Greenlight "Edge of Reality" for global push + press interviews
  • Reduce spend on "Street Vibe" in English-speaking markets
  • Advance pre-release promotions for thrillers with female leads
  • Avoid July 20–25 window due to heavy negative buzz on other OTT titles
Strategic Value for Studios & Distributors
  • Predict title success before a dollar is spent on launch
  • Track genre-specific sentiment shifts over time
  • Fine-tune regional rollouts based on viewer expectation
  • Leverage top fan comments in pre-launch marketing
  • Pivot or pause content before committing to full release
Final Thoughts

In a world where OTT content launches daily, guessing what works isn’t enough. With OTT Scrape’s sentiment analysis from IMDb and Rotten Tomatoes, you can make decisions powered by real audience voices — even before your content premieres.

Studios that use sentiment intelligence can avoid bad launches, maximize hype, and plan content with confidence.

Know More:https://www.ottscrape.com/sentiment-analysis-imdb-rotten-tomatoes-upcoming-ott-releases.php

About the Author

At OTT Scrape, we specialize in scraping streaming data, ensuring comprehensive and accurate collection for detailed analysis and insights.

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Author: Ott Scrape

Ott Scrape

Member since: Jun 24, 2024
Published articles: 86

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